Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000101 0.000112 0.000123 0.000137 0.000151 0.000167 0.000186
2025-12-21 0.000085 0.000100 0.000116 0.000137 0.000161 0.000188 0.000222
2025-12-28 0.000073 0.000090 0.000110 0.000135 0.000167 0.000206 0.000256
2026-01-04 0.000065 0.000084 0.000106 0.000137 0.000177 0.000228 0.000298
2026-01-11 0.000058 0.000078 0.000103 0.000137 0.000185 0.000248 0.000338
2026-01-18 0.000052 0.000072 0.000099 0.000137 0.000191 0.000266 0.000377
2026-01-25 0.000047 0.000067 0.000095 0.000136 0.000197 0.000283 0.000416
2026-02-01 0.000043 0.000063 0.000092 0.000136 0.000203 0.000301 0.000458
2026-02-08 0.000039 0.000059 0.000088 0.000134 0.000206 0.000315 0.000494
2026-02-15 0.000036 0.000056 0.000086 0.000133 0.000210 0.000330 0.000535
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000053 0.000084 0.000134 0.000216 0.000349 0.000582
2026-03-01 0.000031 0.000051 0.000081 0.000132 0.000219 0.000362 0.000621
2026-03-08 0.000030 0.000049 0.000080 0.000134 0.000228 0.000387 0.000683
2026-03-15 0.000028 0.000047 0.000078 0.000135 0.000235 0.000408 0.000741
2026-03-22 0.000026 0.000045 0.000076 0.000134 0.000239 0.000425 0.000793
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000043 0.000076 0.000136 0.000248 0.000453 0.000866
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000042 0.000074 0.000136 0.000254 0.000475 0.000932
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000040 0.000072 0.000135 0.000259 0.000494 0.000994
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000038 0.000071 0.000135 0.000263 0.000513 0.001056
2026-04-26 0.000020 0.000037 0.000069 0.000135 0.000268 0.000534 0.001127
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000035 0.000067 0.000133 0.000269 0.000548 0.001183
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000034 0.000066 0.000132 0.000273 0.000567 0.001250
2026-05-17 0.000017 0.000033 0.000065 0.000132 0.000279 0.000589 0.001329